Demand forecast and planning of the inventory

Data analytics to avoid

Perception of products running out or excess of products in inventories.

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Inspiration

Our approach here is based on having a centralized repository that integrates demand-related information; we call it DEMAND SIGNAL REPOSITORY. This is an entity-relationship model in the form of aggregated flakes that enables the integration of information from sell-in, sell-out, price, distribution, market, inventory, among others.

With this repository, forecasting models are developed for SKUs and for points of sale. To achieve the best Forecast accuracy, we test up to 70 methodologies for every SKU, in the end selecting the best one.

The mathematical forecast is complemented with collaborative forecasts and optimization to obtain efficiencies in inventories, distribution, and prices.

Key questions to answer

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What is the future estimated sales volume?

sinnetic_pregunta_icono How will the category, the competitors, and our own brands be moving/ fluctuating?

sinnetic_pregunta_icono What is the impact of price, distribution, and assortment on future demand?

sinnetic_pregunta_icono What adjustments can we make in terms of price, promotion, distribution, and assortment to increase demand?

Key deliverables

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Mathematical demand forecast.

sinnetic_icono_pasar Consensus forecast.

sinnetic_icono_pasar Forecast for new products.

sinnetic_icono_pasar Estimate of optimal price, promotion thresholds, and efficient moments to manage to promote with the best effect.

sinnetic_icono_pasar Optimization of distribution points, assortment, active and passive inventory.

BENEFITS of DDPO

A scientific ecosystem

Having a holistic vision of your project on demand planning and optimization of inventories.

Demand Signal Repository

Entity - relationship model that integrates more than 25 quality sources of information and ETL best practices to count on all the data resources at hand and initiate the analysis routes. This model has been tested and calibrated with more than 15 different categories.

Forecast for launches

Predictive ability to forecast the demand for new products by using “Lookalike” methodologies, maximizing the use of the repository with indications on the demand.

Forecast strategies

For every SKU and point of sale, we test up to 70 forecast techniques to select the one that can best predict the demand. This is carried out through parallelization of servers, doing high-performance analytics in a very short period of time.

Optimization

The ability to use data science to optimize inventory, distribution, assortment and price with the purpose of modifying the course of the demand for the benefit of the business.

Consensus forecast

Methodology made to allow leaders, CATMAN and other persons involved, challenge the mathematical forecast by making modifications based on business rules. These modifications have a direct impact on the budget.

Supply chain analytics

Integrate the demand forecast with the dynamics of supply, maintaining suppliers aligned for the benefit of the supply chain.

Regional coverage in Latin America, exporting services to the United States and Europe from our offices in Colombia and Mexico.

BOGOTÁ, COLOMBIA.

Carrera 13 No. 83 – 19,
Tel: +57 601 638 6904

gabriel.contreras@sinnetic.com

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CIUDAD DE MÉXICO, MÉXICO.

Blvd. Manuel Ávila Camacho 182,
Piso 6, Colonia Reforma Social.
Tel: +52 5564212121

lucie.poison@sinnetic.com

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HOW CAN WE HELP YOU?